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24H POSITIONS:763.0K

MARKETS:854

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#	Market	Category	↓Prob	↓1H	↓6H	↓24H	↓Vol 24h	Spread	↓Ends
1	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	World	6%	—	—	—	$2.0M	✗1.6%	7mo
2	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	World	38%	-3.00%	—	—	$224.8K	✓2.5%	1mo
3	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	World	1%	—	—	-1.00%	$1.9M	⚠13.3%	3d
4	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	World	3%	—	—	—	$420.1K	✓3.6%	1mo
5	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	World	12%	-2.00%	-6.00%	-8.00%	$373.8K	✗1.4%	3d
6	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	7%	—	—	-5.00%	$220.8K	⚠4.0%	3d
7	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Sports	59%	—	—	—	$1.3M	✓1.7% · $557K	1h
8	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	15%	—	-1.00%	-12.00%	$390.4K	✗1.3% · $625	1mo
9	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	World	7%	—	—	—	$335.5K	⚠1.5% · $3K	7mo
10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	World	40%	-1.00%	-4.00%	-2.00%	$316.5K	✓2.5%	1mo
11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	World	1%	—	—	-1.00%	$209.5K	?-	4d
12	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	29%	—	+1.00%	-1.00%	$328.6K	✓0.4% · $27K	1mo
13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	World	79%	—	-2.00%	-3.00%	$303.4K	⚠1.3% · $6K	7mo
14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	World	38%	-1.00%	-6.00%	-11.00%	$394.2K	✓2.7%	2w
15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	42%	—	—	—	$465.9K	✓2.4%	2d
16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	10%	—	-1.00%	-1.00%	$452.8K	✓1.0% · $18K	1mo
17	Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot	Sports	51%	—	—	-13.00%	$215.6K	✓2.0% · $129K	1w
18	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	11%	—	—	—	$327.3K	✓0.9% · $58K	1mo
19	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Sports	22%	—	—	—	$236.2K	✓4.7%	1w
20	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Sports	53%	—	—	—	$1.6M	✓1.9% · $60K	6d
21	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Sports	51%	+2.00%	—	—	$399.3K	✓2.0%	1w
22	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	Politics	1%	—	—	-1.00%	$211.6K	?-	1mo
23	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Crypto	1%	—	—	—	$5.8M	✗13.3%	1mo
24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Finance	97%	—	—	—	$237.2K	?-	2w
25	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Politics	34%	—	-9.00%	-3.00%	$23.5K	⚠3.0%	2w
26	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	25%	—	—	+1.00%	$28.6K	✓0.4% · $3K	29mo
27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Politics	2%	—	—	+1.00%	$25.5K	⚠17.1%	1mo
28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Finance	1%	—	—	—	$277.4K	⚠18.2%	2w
29	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	4%	—	—	+1.00%	$25.5K	⚠17.8%	1mo
30	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	1%	—	—	—	$778.3K	⚠10.5%	29mo
31	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	1%	—	—	—	$645.1K	⚠11.8%	29mo
32	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	1%	—	—	—	$1.2M	⚠11.8%	29mo
33	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	1%	—	—	—	$820.6K	⚠13.3%	29mo
34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Crypto	1%	-1.00%	—	—	$262.8K	⚠8.0%	1d
35	Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	1%	—	—	—	$848.6K	⚠13.3%	29mo

#1

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

World

6%

Vol 24h:$2.0M

Spread:✗1.6%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 7mo

#2

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

World

38%

Vol 24h:$224.8K

Spread:✓2.5%

1H-3.00%

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1mo

#3

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

World

1%

Vol 24h:$1.9M

Spread:⚠13.3%

1H—

6H—

24H-1.00%

⏰

Ends 3d

#4

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

World

3%

Vol 24h:$420.1K

Spread:✓3.6%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1mo

#5

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

World

12%

Vol 24h:$373.8K

Spread:✗1.4%

1H-2.00%

6H-6.00%

24H-8.00%

⏰

Ends 3d

#6

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Crypto

7%

Vol 24h:$220.8K

Spread:⚠4.0%

1H—

6H—

24H-5.00%

⏰

Ends 3d

#7

Hurricanes vs. Canadiens

Sports

59%

Vol 24h:$1.3M

Spread:✓1.7% · $557K

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1h

#8

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Sports

15%

Vol 24h:$390.4K

Spread:✗1.3% · $625

1H—

6H-1.00%

24H-12.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#9

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

World

7%

Vol 24h:$335.5K

Spread:⚠1.5% · $3K

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 7mo

#10

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

World

40%

Vol 24h:$316.5K

Spread:✓2.5%

1H-1.00%

6H-4.00%

24H-2.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#11

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

World

1%

Vol 24h:$209.5K

Spread:?-

1H—

6H—

24H-1.00%

⏰

Ends 4d

#12

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Sports

29%

Vol 24h:$328.6K

Spread:✓0.4% · $27K

1H—

6H+1.00%

24H-1.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#13

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

World

79%

Vol 24h:$303.4K

Spread:⚠1.3% · $6K

1H—

6H-2.00%

24H-3.00%

⏰

Ends 7mo

#14

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

World

38%

Vol 24h:$394.2K

Spread:✓2.7%

1H-1.00%

6H-6.00%

24H-11.00%

⏰

Ends 2w

#15

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Sports

42%

Vol 24h:$465.9K

Spread:✓2.4%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 2d

#16

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports

10%

Vol 24h:$452.8K

Spread:✓1.0% · $18K

1H—

6H-1.00%

24H-1.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#17

Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot

Sports

51%

Vol 24h:$215.6K

Spread:✓2.0% · $129K

1H—

6H—

24H-13.00%

⏰

Ends 1w

#18

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Sports

11%

Vol 24h:$327.3K

Spread:✓0.9% · $58K

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1mo

#19

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Sports

22%

Vol 24h:$236.2K

Spread:✓4.7%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1w

#20

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Sports

53%

Vol 24h:$1.6M

Spread:✓1.9% · $60K

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 6d

#21

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Sports

51%

Vol 24h:$399.3K

Spread:✓2.0%

1H+2.00%

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1w

#22

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$211.6K

Spread:?-

1H—

6H—

24H-1.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#23

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Crypto

1%

Vol 24h:$5.8M

Spread:✗13.3%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1mo

#24

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Finance

97%

Vol 24h:$237.2K

Spread:?-

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 2w

#25

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Politics

34%

Vol 24h:$23.5K

Spread:⚠3.0%

1H—

6H-9.00%

24H-3.00%

⏰

Ends 2w

#26

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics

25%

Vol 24h:$28.6K

Spread:✓0.4% · $3K

1H—

6H—

24H+1.00%

⏰

Ends 29mo

#27

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Politics

2%

Vol 24h:$25.5K

Spread:⚠17.1%

1H—

6H—

24H+1.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#28

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Finance

1%

Vol 24h:$277.4K

Spread:⚠18.2%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 2w

#29

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Tech

4%

Vol 24h:$25.5K

Spread:⚠17.8%

1H—

6H—

24H+1.00%

⏰

Ends 1mo

#30

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$778.3K

Spread:⚠10.5%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 29mo

#31

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$645.1K

Spread:⚠11.8%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 29mo

#32

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$1.2M

Spread:⚠11.8%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 29mo

#33

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$820.6K

Spread:⚠13.3%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 29mo

#34

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Crypto

1%

Vol 24h:$262.8K

Spread:⚠8.0%

1H-1.00%

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 1d

#35

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics

1%

Vol 24h:$848.6K

Spread:⚠13.3%

1H—

6H—

24H—

⏰

Ends 29mo